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Landscape - Was the high tide level in Saxon times at Pevensey at about 4.5 metres ?
 

Table of Contents
 

 
A logical discussion of why the high tide level in early Anglo Saxon times was about 4 to 5 metres

This page is designed to show why I believe that the high tide level was at about the 4 to 5 metres mark in about 450AD (early Anglo Saxon times)

Lets take an area I know - the Pevensey Levels in Sussex - click here if you would like to see a similar argument applied to the Wash.

So we will start by looking at the Saxon place names which refer to islands these places are all derived from the Saxon word æg meaning an island, which has been shown to refer to modern place names starting in eg, ending in ay, et, ey, ly, ney, sea, sey, ye , is, or contain the snippet eye or island.

So lets take a look at modern Pevensey and see if we can make it and the surrounding island villages into islands by raising the sea level a metre a time to simulate high tide levels. The following images are derived from Open Streetmap with the sea level overlays provided by Alex Tingle from http://flood.firetree.net.
 

This map shows the current sea level
 
Current Sea level in the Pevensey levels in East Sussex, England
This map is derived from flood.firetree.net and shows the current high tide levels in the Pevensey bay in East Sussex, England.
 

This map shows the sea level raised by 1 metre to simulate higher tides
 
High Tide raised by 1 metre in the Pevensey levels in East Sussex, England
This map is derived from flood.firetree.net and shows the effect of a 1 metre rise in tidal levels in the Pevensey bay in East Sussex, England.
 

This map shows the sea level raised by 2 metre to simulate higher tides
 
Sea level raised by 2 metre in the Pevensey levels in East Sussex, England
This map is derived from flood.firetree.net and shows the effect of a 2 metre rise in tidal levels in the Pevensey bay in East Sussex, England.

We don't see any islands at the moment, but there are some interesting possible islands, such as horse eye.
 

This map shows the sea level raised by 3 metre to simulate higher tides
 
Sea level raised by 3 metre in the Pevensey levels in East Sussex, England
This map is derived from flood.firetree.net and shows the effect of a 3 metre rise in tidal levels in the Pevensey bay in East Sussex, England.

This is starting to get interesting, there are islands appearing, but Rickney and Chilley look underwater, however the resolution of the Nasa Data is not fine enough to show the smaller islands.
 

This map shows the sea level raised by 4 metre to simulate higher tides
 
Sea level raised by 4 metre in the Pevensey levels in East Sussex, England
This map is derived from flood.firetree.net and shows the effect of a 4 metre rise in high tide levels in the Pevensey bay in East Sussex, England.

Langney is now an island along with Glyndney, so we are getting somewhere, but Pevensey is not quite an island.
 

This map shows the sea level raised by 5 metre to simulate higher tides
 
Sea level raised by 5 metre in the Pevensey levels in East Sussex, England
This map is derived from flood.firetree.net and shows the effect of a 5 metre rise in tidal levels in the Pevensey bay in East Sussex, England.

At last Pevensey is an island as are the other settlements ending in æg.
 
 
Other Evidence

You may not be convinced from a small example in an out of the way spot in Sussex, but click the following links for further observations that appear to corroborate this theory.

Was the high tide in Saxon times 5 metres higher ? - the Wash

Roman Locations that have not been identified and roads that just terminate

 
 
Scientific papers that support this concept


A recent scientific paper published in 2026 has provided compelling geological evidence for a major sea-level event in the 5th century, directly corroborating the theory developed on this site from place-name and topographic analysis. This new evidence transforms our understanding from a plausible hypothesis into a well-supported model of rapid coastal change during the Early Anglo-Saxon period.

The Article:

English Coastal Archaeological Evidence of a Fifth-Century (Dark Ages) 4-Meter Sea-Level Rise in 70 Years, Portending a Similar Rise Imminently

Please click on the following link to see the paper from the Journal of Coastal Research if this doesn't work, please copy and paste the following into a browser [ https://jcr.kglmeridian.com/view/journals/coas/42/1/article-p165.xml ] then click the 'Download pdf' button.

Written by Dr Roger Higgs and published online January 2026 in the Journal of Coastal Research.


Research Findings


1. Introduction: New Scientific Corroboration

A scientific paper above has provided compelling geological evidence for a major sea-level event in the 5th century, directly corroborating the theory developed on this site from place-name and topographic analysis. This new evidence transforms our understanding from a plausible hypothesis into a well-supported model of rapid coastal change during the Early Anglo-Saxon period.

2. Summary of the Key Scientific Finding

A study of coastal archaeological sites across England, including the Roman fort at Pevensey, demonstrates that a rapid relative sea-level rise of approximately 4 meters occurred within roughly 70 years, spanning the period ~430-500 AD (the early "Dark Ages"). This was a major marine transgression that dramatically reshaped the coastline.

3. Connecting the Evidence: Place-Names Meet Geology

The convergence of evidence is striking:
  • Geological Proof: At Pevensey Castle, excavations found early-5th-century tidal mud within the defensive ditch at a level over 2 meters higher than the fort's original foundations. This indicates the high-tide water level rose significantly after the fort was built, undermining its walls by the mid-to-late 5th century.
     
  • Historical Geography Explained: This ~4-meter rise is precisely the scale required to transform the settlements with "-ey" (from Old English æg, meaning island) on the Pevensey Levels into true tidal islands. The scientific data confirms the landscape model derived from place-names and flood maps.


4. Broader Historical Implications

This rapid environmental change likely had profound historical consequences. As noted in the research, it may help explain the mass migration of Angles and Saxons to southeastern Britain in the 5th century. Their homelands on the North Sea coastal plains may have become increasingly inundated and uninhabitable, "squeezed" between the encroaching sea and other population pressures.

5. Modern Context and Conclusion

The combination of historical geography (place-names and topography) and modern geological science now presents a coherent and evidence-based picture of a pivotal environmental event at the dawn of English history.


Conclusion

The Saxon definition of an æg would appear to mean a piece of land that wasn’t flooded at the highest high tide was about 4.5 metres higher than today.

Modern sea defenses and shingle banks have a tendency to hide the actual sea level.
 
 
Translation of the names on the above maps

This list shows our current translation of the locations shown on the above maps.
These come from our snippet theory of settlement names which we believe the Saxons and other earlier settlers used to describe the location and or use of the place.

Click here to translate a location

The following list of islands from the maps are all Saxon derived names
 
  • Horseye - horse derived from heors - horse / ye derived from æg - an island
  • Rickney - rick derived from rics - the reed / ney derived from en æg - en - 'people of' and æg - 'an island'
  • Glyndney - glynd derived from glind - fence of boards or railing / ney derived from en æg - en - 'people of' and æg - 'an island'
  • Northeye -north derived from norþ - north / eye derived from æg - an island
  • Chilley -chil derived from ceorl - a freeman / ley derived from el æg - person's island
  • Pevensey -pevens derived from fæsten naess - fortress promontory / ey derived from æg - an island
  • Mountney - mount derived from munt - a mountain or mound / ney derived from en æg - en - 'people of' and æg - 'an island'
  • Langney -lang derived from læng - long / ney derived from en æg - en - 'people of' and æg - 'an island'



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Author Simon M - Last updated - 2026-01-22 06:33:11
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